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Clay Shirky has a lot of people" thinking the unthinkable" about the future of the news industry

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Earlier this month, I confessed my confusion over the changes happening in the news industry. This weekend, Clay Shirky fired off a blog post that said what everyone has been afraid to say: we are now at the dawn of a post-print revolution. Newspapers can't be saved because they are tied to economic and technological models that aren't viable any more. Here's an excerpt:

We’re collectively living through 1500, when it’s easier to see what’s broken than what will replace it. The internet turns 40 this fall. Access by the general public is less than half that age. Web use, as a normal part of life for a majority of the developed world, is less than half that age. We just got here. Even the revolutionaries can’t predict what will happen.

Shirky's words are ricocheting across the social media universe.

Just as Marshall Mc Luhan said the medium was the message, Maria Langer parsed the meaning of the means by which she was drawn to Shirky's post. She followed a link from a twitter message and:

I found myself on a plain vanilla — indeed, default WordPress template — blog page with a long column of full-justified text just large enough to read without putting on my cheaters. It was unbroken by advertising (including unattractive or animated ads featuring jiggling fat bodies), images (including meaningless stock photos, inserted as eye candy), or even subheadings (used by so many writers, including me, to help the reader skip head to the “important” parts). It was pure content with only a trio of centered asterisks to indicate a shift in the author’s thought.

And it was good.

What, exactly, is good about Shirky's argument? Index//MB extracts this point:

Clay Shirky distinguishes between journalism and newspapers; their interests are intertwined but the two are about to be separated forever. Journalism is the act. Newspapers are the artifact. The infrastructure around the artifact is imploding, never to be replaced.

MB argues that what Shirky is saying about newspapers and magazines pretty much applies to books, too.

Jessica Lipnack brings Shirky's point home:

[R]egardless of how the information reaches us, we need journalism, even if we don't know precisely what vehicle will deliver it in the years to come.

A lot of people are quoting extensively from Shirky's post on their own blogs. Gaby Benkwitz is one of them, because, as she put it:

[T]hat’s what people do nowadays and the author is cool with it (over 130 people wordlwide have done the same so far and therefore spread his word, drawing attention to him and his work).

What does all of this mean for those of us who have devoted our life's work to this industry. Blogher CE Susan Mernit has an answer:

Right this very minute, old media paradigms are dying. Change faster, people!

Change how? Shirky says it's time for a lot more experimentation. Mediavidea has a list of 14 emerging business models, ranging from foundation-funded ventures such as Pro Publica to "crowd-funded" efforts such as Spot.us.

For my own part, I think Shirky's right about the fate of newspapers, and he is right about the need for journalism. His separation of newspapers from journalism adds perspective to results of a recent Pew Center poll's findings that fully one-half to two-thirds of all Americans say that if their daily newspaper disappeared, they wouldn't care. They might not miss the newspaper, but they will still seek out the news.

We are at the dawn of a new era of civic media. While we don't know exactly what that new media economy will look like, one thing is certain. It's too important to be left to the experts alone.

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Ellenk 5 pts

I really love a phrase "thinking the unthinkable". Our descendants will not have a chance to know newspaper! Did I read it wrong? What a shock! Now I believe technology ( http://www.savethislink.net/Technology ) can change anything.

healthcare 5 pts

that was quite right

Thanks for share Kim

Heath Care ( http://www.prirodnjackimuzej.org/ )

shelleyp 5 pts

"I think the other piece of it is that Shirky has high street cred
within particular circles. Bighow.com lists him alongside guys like Jay
Rosen, Jeff Jarvis and Steve Outing in its poll about the most useful
new media gurus. One of the reasons I decided to do this post for
BlogHer is that all of the "gurus" listed were male."

I have a long history with Clay Shirky, and one aspect of it was that there was a group of influential men (and add my own publisher, Tim O'Reilly into mix) who immediately group and promote the heck out of what he says, but rarely would do the same for women commenting in the field. Times have improved, but, frankly, not a whole lot. Women are still part of the chorus, not the main act. 

Looking forward to your next post, will look for it. 

PS This really isn't about print versus digital, nor even old school journalism versus a new form of journalism to be named at a later time. This is about us, and how we're changing. What's happening with journalism is really nothing more than a by-product of what's happening with us. 

Akose 5 pts

I thoroughly get that sentiment of feeling somehow obligated to newprint and books.  It's as if you are among the last who appreciates the value of the printed word and so must support newpapers and publishers to the end.  I don't have ink in my veins but I do get a particular thrill when faced with a clean sheet of paper...my very own tabula rasa, waiting for my to-do lists, highbrow thoughts, or doodles.  Maybe the visceral connection to newsprint and books is because the paper is from trees?

 "She is too fond of books and it has turned her brain." -- L. M. Alcott

Nordette Adams 6 pts

I just watched its video with staffers ( http://bigsole.blogspot.com/2009/03/last-rites-for... ) and cried like I live in Washington and won't get the paper at my door anymore or just lost a job.

Nordette ( http://blogher.org/blog/nordette ): BlogHer CE. Blogs @ WSATA ( http://bigsole.blogspot.com ) & UMBOP ( http://urbanpsalms.blogspot.com ). @Twitter ( http://twitter.com/nordette_verite )

Kim Pearson 5 pts

 Shelley and Nordette -- I agree that much of what Shirky said has been said before. I said some of the same things in my previous post, for ecample. but I think it resonated with so many people so quickly because his post came at a time when people are reeling from the successive reports of dying enterprises -- the Rocky Mountain News, the Post-Intelligencer, the SF Chronicle on life support, and so on and so forth and scooby dooby dooby...

I think the other piece of it is that Shirky has high street cred within particular circles. Bighow.com lists him alongside guys like Jay Rosen, Jeff Jarvis and Steve Outing in its poll about the most useful new media gurus. One of the reasons I decided to do this post for BlogHer is that all of the "gurus" listed were male. I wanted to find out whether Amy Gahran, Susan Mernit or of the other leaders I typically read had to say about the matter. The post represents what I found. 

The diversity issue leads me to another point that will be the subject of my post today. 

KimBlogHer Contributing Editor ( http://blogher.org/blog/kim-pearson )|Professor Kim ( http://professorkim.blogspot.com/ )|

Nordette Adams 6 pts

I thought the same thing ShelleyP did when I started reading this post. The difference between us is I don't know who Shirky is off the top of my head. 

But what he said seemed obvious to me, that newspapers going away is not the same as journalism going away.  I get a little confused sometimes by people who gets lots of attention for stating the obvious.  I guess it's the "Emperor Has No Clothes" phenomenon.

Nevertheless, the point of your post is not Shirky.  And a good post it is.

I have a confession to make. It pains me as a lover of books and a person who grew up thinking journalism was a noble profession--I mean someone who's published a weekly paper and actually would sniff the finished product, loving its scent and feel, accepting that I may have been born with ink in my veins--that I don't pick up hard print as much anymore.

My dad gets The Times Picayune ( http://www.nola.com ) delivered each day, but I go online to read news.  Earlier this year I got a baby come back letter from The New York Times and felt like I'd been cheating on a lover.

My daughter recently received her Kindle2 in the mail, and already I'm eyeying my large collection of hard print books thinking that I need to get rid of the ones I've read but don't love and the ones I'll never read, buy an electronic reader or start uploading books to a PDA.

I'll have a few book shelves reserved for hard-to-find titles and classics, perhaps on the coffee table some magazines that make far better eye-candy in hard print, but other than that--down with the clutter.

Why is it I feel guilty about this like I'm burning Bibles or swearing in church?

Nordette ( http://blogher.org/blog/nordette ): BlogHer CE. Blogs @ WSATA ( http://bigsole.blogspot.com ) & UMBOP ( http://urbanpsalms.blogspot.com ). @Twitter ( http://twitter.com/nordette_verite )

shelleyp 5 pts

I must confess to being confused why everyone is falling on Shirky's work like he's the last messiah with a pronouncement from on high. Nothing of what he says, hasn't been said before.

He states journalism will go on, but then waves his hands vaguely, mumbling, "somehow". He brings up the old printing press story, as if to demonstrate what? That there's historic precedence for such times? 

I sometimes think the Shirky mystique is based on the fact that when he writes, he has a group of prominent men who immediately respond with "Wow, earth changing" and everybody then "sees" something new, and major, and profound, when it is no such thing. 

Kim Pearson 5 pts

 I'll miss the tactile thing too. Folding out the paper while I sip my coffee, for example. Playing with the crosswords, yes. Sprawling on the living room floor in my pjs with my stepmother when I was six, reading the Sunday comics to each other. Some of my happiest memories as a young woman are linked to eating brunch and sharing sections of the Sunday New York Times with a special someone. Online reading doesn't evoke those kinds of warm fuzzy feelings. But economics trumps sentiment, and yes, printing presses, trucks and newsprint are all expensive.

Kim
BlogHer Contributing Editor ( http://blogher.org/blog/kim-pearson )|Professor Kim ( http://professorkim.blogspot.com/ )|

Kim Pearson 5 pts

 Once you've had a chance to read Shirky's post.

Kim
BlogHer Contributing Editor ( http://blogher.org/blog/kim-pearson )|Professor Kim ( http://professorkim.blogspot.com/ )|

Akose 5 pts

I like newpapers, news mags and books because I'm a voracious reader and I like being informed.  Admittedly part of the pleasure is the tactile part, the holding of the reading material, being able to thumb through the pages, letting various articles and ideas catch my attention for a cursory or thorough reading. The tactile part is one of the things I miss when reading on my Kindle.

I love using the Kindle generally.  But it's awful for some types of reference books and thumbing through articles on the kindle is not the same as with a newspaper. I've adjusted to getting my news electronically via internet and e-news.  I do my daily crossword and sudoku on the net.  I even get a daily e-mail with e-copies of some of my favorite comics and editorial cartoons...and that was a big deal because  I need some humor to ease the consumption of all the day's news.

It's clear that newspapers--as we know them now--are dinosaurs.  They are ridulously expensive to maintain in paper form.  You have to factor in the costs (money and resources) of the paper and ink, the transportation of those papers to all the various outlets, and the labor involved in printing and moving all that paper.

I really think newspapers are ready for an evolution because this changed economy is allowing/forcing people to think outside the box and come up with new, cost-efficient ways to deliver their services.

Kim Pearson 5 pts

 There are still hand-crafted illuminated manuscripts out there, but -- well, you know.

And Virginia -- glad to be of service. I thought it was important to see what women were saying about Shirky's post.

Kim
BlogHer Contributing Editor ( http://blogher.org/blog/kim-pearson )|Professor Kim ( http://professorkim.blogspot.com/ )|

Candelaria Silva 5 pts

Very well said.  I like the quote about journalism is the act and newspapers are the artifact.  It will be hard for me to break the habit of the physical feel of the paper in my hand but I welcome the technology that has made vehicles like blogher possible.

Can't it be a both/and instead of an either/or?

Must the new always dismantle the old?

blog.candelariasilva.com

Good and plenty!

Virginia DeBolt 5 pts

I'm really interested in the article, but am too busy at SXSW to read it. I'm glad you had time to tell us something about it. When I first glanced at it, I just bookmarked it for later. Maybe next week. :)

Virginia DeBolt@vdebolt
BlogHer CE ( http://www.blogher.com/blog/virginia-debolt )
Web Teacher ( http://www.webteacher.ws/ )
First 50 Words ( http://first50.wordpress.com/ )
( http://twitter.com/vdebolt )