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The short version: Jill Miller Zimon writes the topical blog, Writes Like She Talks (www.writeslikeshetalks.com) and often highlights the paucity of...
 
 
 
 

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Election 2010: Women's Gains and Losses

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For months working up to yesterday's Midterm election races, headline after headline sported some version of "year of the woman" or "year of the GOP woman" or "Dem women face losses due to year of the GOP woman" or "Mama Grizzlies growl through year of the woman" or...you get the idea.

So how did women do?

Quick hits (information based on data from the Center for American Women in Politics)

U.S. Senate:

Neither the baseline number (17 total women in 2010, 15-17 in 2011) nor the balance of left and right (13 Ds, 4 Rs in 2010) will swing much. However, self-funders for the Senate, Linda McMahon (R-CT) and Carly Fiorina (R-CA) both lost. And two tea party favorits, Sharron Angle (R-NV) and Christine O'Donnell (R-DE) also lost.

U.S. House:

The preliminary guess is that the House total from 2010 (73) will only decline by three once the undecideds are called. However, the estimate right now shows a loss of nine Democratic women (from 56 down to 47) and a gain in GOP women (from 17 up to 23). One of the newcomers will be one of the few female GOP Young Guns, Kristi Noem for South Dakota's at-large seat.

Governors:

There's actually no net change -- there were six women governors in 2010 and there will be six in 2011. The Democrat/Republican split will go from three and three, to four Republicans and two Democrats (both incumbents). The important thing to note here is that there were 37 governorships up for grabs this year and yet in the general election, only eight of those contests had women in them (albeit two of those were women v. women matchups). Still, if women are looking to make gains and get executive experience as they head to obliterate the White House glass ceiling, they need to field more candidates at this level.

For the specifics, we turn to the Rutgers' Center for American Women in Politics (open the pdf at that status update):

U.S. House

In 2010, there were 73 women (56 Democrats, 17 Republicans)

In 2011, CAWP states that there will be at least 70 women (47 Democrats 23 Republicans), with another four women (two from each party) still in races that have yet to be called.  Of those, at least 12 new women (4 Democrats, 8 Republicans) will enter the House.

U.S. Senate

In 2010, there were 17 women (13 Democrats, 4 Republicans)

In 2011, depending on outcomes in Alaska and Washington, there will be a total of 15-17 women (11 or 12 Democrats, 4 or 5 Republicans)

Governor

In 2010, six women serve as governor (3 Democrats, 3 Republicans).

LEXINGTON, SC - NOVEMBER 3: South Carolina Governor-elect Nikki Haley speaks to voters at Hudson's Smokehouse on November 3, 2010 in Lexington, South Carolina.The election of Haley makes her the first Indian-American governor of South Carolina when she beat incumbent Democrat Vincent Sheheen. (Photo by Chris Keane/Getty Images)

In 2011, the total number of women governors will be six. Of those six, 2 are Democrats, 4 are Republicans and three of the Republicans are new governors (Jan Brewer being the exception as having been re-elected). Those three new governors are all first female governor for their states (Susana Martinez in New Mexico, Mary Fallin in Oklahhoma and Nikki Haley in South Carolina). Martinez is the first-ever female Hispanic governor in the country, and Haley is the first-ever Indian American female governor in the country. Women's eNews wrote more extensively about it this morning here.

Next, let's look at numbers from the National Conference of State Legislatures. This information is critical for many reasons but not the least of which is related to how many states' chambers flipped from blue to red last night. Katie Ziegler at NCSL's Women's Legislative Network cautions that these numbers are only preliminary due to the number of races yet to be decided. However, what we still can see easily is a very steep decline in the total number of women in the 50 state legislatures (more than 100), a very big drop in the number of Democratic women officeholders (more than 200) and a large increase in the number of Republican women officeholders (more than 100):

2010                      2011

Total seats:                                    7,382                       7,382

Total women:                                1,808                       1,693

Total Dems:                                   1,263                        1,043

Total GOP                                         529                          633

*minor parties' totals not listed here but can be seen on the NCSL website

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Kerri L 5 pts

I'm fascinated by American politics and found this information especially interesting. I watched a TV show the other day about the Suffragettes of the early 20th century, and it amazed me how far we have come, but also reminded me how far we still have to go.

I live just outside of Calgary, Alberta, Canada. Calgary hosts the Calgary Stampede every year and we are known for being a little rough around the edges, and for wearing cowboy hats and cowboy boots. As such,a few weeks ago, it was a very powerful and monumental event when we elected a 38 year old Muslim mayor - the 1st Muslim to head a major city in Canada. He is the son of Ismaili Muslim immigrants from Tanzania.

Jill Miller Zimon 5 pts

I haven't put as much time into looking at that as a lot of others have. Personally, I think it's a few things:

1. Transient - what is the gender composition of the voters considered to be independents? Depending on how many women are in that group, then I would say it's more a matter of them moving to vote for Republicans over Democrats in certain instances than Democratic voting women leaving the Democrats.

2. Women still did not vote for some women- Sharron Angle I've read is a particular example of that. And I guess not enough men vote for her either given that she lost.

3. I'm not clear on how, with voting by Democrats overall depressed, so to speak, how the gender gap plays. In other words, if you don't have the voters who most often go to the Democratic side, and those voters are reliably women, then for sure it will looks as if there's been a shift to Republican voting, by default.

So - I think tracking the vote per se is very different than looking at aggregates of what people actually did on one particular election day, every two years. Do you know what I mean?

Ohio really is a prime example since we don't register by party and nearly 1/3 of registered voters are unaffiliated.

Good question - Lots more unpacking to be done of it.

Jill Writes Like She Talks ( http://www.writeslikeshetalks.com )

In The Arena: Jill Miller Zimon, Pepper Pike City Council Member ( http://jillmillerzimon.blogspot.com )

Jill Miller Zimon 5 pts

Even more - that should be the mantra for the next two years at last, but no doubt until parity is reached, IMO. Thanks for reading and commenting.

Jill Writes Like She Talks ( http://www.writeslikeshetalks.com )

In The Arena: Jill Miller Zimon, Pepper Pike City Council Member ( http://jillmillerzimon.blogspot.com )

kbojar 5 pts

Thanks for pulling all this together. What do you make of the disappearance(almost) of the gender gap?

Karen Bojar

http://www.the-next-stage.com/

MsAdventuress 5 pts

It would be wonderful to see even more women running and leading. What I'm grateful for, though, is that their presence is felt and seen (broadcast) more publicly now. This really makes a beneficial difference, clearly, in regards to visibility. It packs a punch. I don't want us to lose any of that.

Adventuring ( http://www.msadventuress.com/ )...