I'm taking odds: what will Hillary's margin of victory be in Pennsylvania tomorrow?
by Morra Aarons

Or, will she even win? Since this election is turning into a complete soap opera, let's have some fun with odds on Hillary's victory percentage tomorrow in the Pennsylvania Primary. Can Hillary win without crying? Are voters really ready for this Primary to be over? If Hillary wins by 5-7 points is it a victory for Obama?

Real Clear Politics writes "if he simply outperforms the latest RealClearPolitics Average which has him trailing by 5.9%, that will be enough to calm nervous superdelegates while all but eliminating any hope Senator Clinton has of claiming a popular vote victory."

My friend Jonathan, a pollster, sets the over-under at Clinton by 10.5.
My husband says Hillary's going to win by 12-15 points.

Obama's down now. He's vulnerable and it's time for his supporters to show the love. They can get civically super-charged by showing up and narrowing Hillary's victory. That's exciting and powerful.  Hillary's been on the attack for two weeks straight. No tears in sight (see Noam Scheiber here) and her unfavorable ratings are soaring.

I wager voters will prop up Obama tomorrow and Hillary will win by 7.

Any takers?  

PA Bloggers to watch:

Kristen Forbriger 

Above Average Jane 

Pam's Coffee Conversation 

Comments

 

Carol Marie Ramsey

I'm not sure who will win, but I wish that Obama would hire a silly-question-guy to have a press conference at the same time each day and answer all the silly questions about lapel pins and such. Maybe one of the Jon Stewart guys is available. Then Obama could go back to what he was doing before, being inspiring and presidential.  

They are both doing it now, the back and forth and back and forth with the silly questions. It is tiring.

Carol Marie Ramsey
Finding balance and peace in parenting at Graceful Parenting

 

My call

I hope she does better than this, but I'm guessing Hillary by 6 points.

Let the Pa. voting begin!

PunditMom, Contributing Editor, Politics & News

Also at MOMocrats