Iowa Caucus: OPEN THREAD
by Erin Kotecki Vest

Election 2008 kicks off in grand fashion today as Iowa caucuses and BlogHer wants YOU to make your voice heard.

As NPR's Nancy Cook explains, the Iowa Caucus is unlike the general election or even the primaries,

"Beginning at 7 p.m. CST, Iowans will gather in their neighbors' homes, schools, churches or gyms for what's essentially a neighborhood party that lasts for hours. The caucus goers advocate for the candidates of their choice. In the case of Democrats, they also debate policy issues such as Iraq, health care or the economy. Then they declare their presidential preference in one of the state's 1,784 voting precincts."


BlogHer invites you to join the discussion with your blog posts, comments, and thoughts on all things Iowa, election, and voter related!

BlogHer Election '08 EARN OUR VOTES!

Comments

 

Look at John McCain's favorability numbers...

And here is the loving headline from Rasmussen Reports: As Campaign Season Begins, Only One Presidential Candidate is Viewed Favorably by Majority of Voters."

he Arizona Senator is now viewed favorably by 53% of all voters (a total boosted by the fact that 56% of those not affiliated with the major parties have a positive opinion of him. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters nationwide have an unfavorable opinion of him. Last summer, following the Senate debate on immigration, McCain’s stock had sunk so low that he was viewed favorably by fewer than half the voters in his home state. But, he has recovered in the latest Arizona polling as well as nationally.

John Edwards is viewed favorably by 49%, unfavorably by 42% and Hillary Clinton is the only other candidate with favorables about 43%. She is viewed favorably by 48% of all voters and unfavorably by 50%. Attitudes about the former First Lady are held more firmly than those for other candidates.

Barack Obama earns favorable reviews from 43%, Fred Thompson from 42%, Mike Huckabee and Rudy Giuliani from 40%. Mitt Romney has the lowest total at 38%. Fifty-one percent (51%) have an unfavorable opinion of the former Massachusetts Governor. That unfavorable rating is matched by Obama and topped only by Giuliani at 55%.

Of course, entering the Primary season, it may be that opinions within the partisan ranks matter more than the overall numbers. McCain is viewed favorably by 66% of Republican voters nationwide, Thompson and Giuliani are viewed favorably by 65%, Romney by 57%, and Huckabee by 55%.

Among Democrats, Clinton is viewed favorably by 80% of Democratic voters, Edwards by 66%, and Obama by 61%.

From: Surveys of 800 Likely Voters
December 26-27 & December 28-29, 2007

 

Iowa gameday!

Wish I were in Iowa today to watch. As most of ya'll know, I'm a California voter for the past 18 years. If you want to watch today's primary from the inside, I recommend:

  • The Caucus Cooler, where they're holding an open predictions thread, and promise to return later today with "more rumors and innuendo from the streets of Des Moines." They'll also live-blog the caucus tonight, which should be interesting.
  • I found the Caucus Cooler on Iowa Geek, which has a great list of Iowa blogs in the lower right hand column. She writes about her caucus choice here:
  • And My Choice Is....
    Well, the Iowa Caucus will begin in just under 48 hours. And it has taken me up until this, the final days, to make my choice.

    Not long ago I wrote a bit about the candidates and why or why not they were in my list of "possibles". At that time I had four candidates: Tancredo, Hunter, Romney and Thompson. Since that time Tancredo has dropped out of the race. Which is too bad but we saw it coming.

    After much thought and research I have decided to caucus for...

    What, you thought I would give it away?? Nope - you have to go read her yourself. And see the YouTube video. :)

  • I found Iowa Geek via An Iowa Mom, whom I know through BlogHerAds
  • This state's primary caucus system is unique -- CNN calls the rules "arcane" but to me it sounds a lot like the vote brokering that happens every day in Congress. Very interesting to read how the Democrats handle their evening caucus so differently from the Republicans...

    Lisa Stone
    BlogHer Co-founder
    Surfette

     

    Essential Estrogen in Iowa

    Essential Estrogen has a great local perspective on the 'courting' (or lack there of) of women in Iowa:

    "Listen to the national media long enough and you'll soon be convinced that I'm one of the hottest commodities available in this presidential election. First, I'm a resident of Iowa. Second, I'm a woman. It is true that I was contacted by every Democratic campaign (and a couple of Republican ones as well) and asked to join their 'Women for ...' group. Over the summer, I spent hours in small meetings, visiting with leadership of said women's groups. Those who participated were told that the feedback garnered from those meetings was invaluable, that the views expressed by the women involved were going to be taken back to the top of the campaign and integrated into the messaging, plans and forthcoming white papers. Some of it was. Unless the other meetings held across the state of Iowa were drastically different from the ones I attended, very little of the substance of those meetings was converted to policy."

    Also check out her scoop on some last minute tactics and campaigning by just about everyone.

    A great read!

    Politics & News Contributing Editor
    Queen of Spain

     

    Another interesting caucus blog: BrownIowa

    According to this blog, black and brown Iowans could be an important swing vote in the caucuses. But when you read a post such as "Caucusing Not Just for Caucasians" you get the impression that Iowans of color have been rpretty removed from the process. It would be interesting to find out whether this strategy for civic engagement has an impact on the turnout. It will also be interesting to see whether it swings votes for Obama, whom the blog endorses.

    Kim
    BlogHer Contributing Editor|Professor Kim|

     

    Oh very interesting Kim

    Thank you!

    Lisa Stone
    BlogHer Co-founder
    Surfette

     

    You're welcome! -- and here's another

    Democracy Now! had an interesting set o interviews with leaders of some community organizations in Iowa. I loved the question that one of the interviewees raised about the corrosive effects of the widening gap between rich and poor.

    Kim
    BlogHer Contributing Editor|Professor Kim|

     

    Google Maps mashup of the caucuses

    Check it out. They also promise live results tonight.

    Kim
    BlogHer Contributing Editor|Professor Kim|

     

    I'm loving the Google Map!

    I can't get enough. I keep hitting refresh hoping for more and it's only 130pst!!!

    Politics & News Contributing Editor
    Queen of Spain

     

    It's twitterific (smile)

    I learned about the Google map from a Twitter friend -- I'm finally starting to understand...

    Kim
    BlogHer Contributing Editor|Professor Kim|

     

    1 More Hour

    As I type, it is 5:00 p.m. in Iowa, roughly an hour before most will head to their appointed caucus site.

    A couple of more sites that might be of interest to those following along tonight...

    www.iowacaucusresults.com -- this site, hosted by the Iowa Democratic Party, offers nearly real-time results as the precincts report.

    The IDP also as a FAQ and more detailed caucus info available.

    If my WiFi card plays nice, I hope to liveblog what happens at my individual caucus and there is a host of team coverage happening on Iowa Independent.

    www.EssentialEstrogen.com - www.IowaIndependent.com - www.RHRealityCheck.org

     

    Thanks for the links!

    I'm crossing my fingers your wifi cooperates! I can't wait!

    Politics & News Contributing Editor
    Queen of Spain

     

    Essential Estrogen is LIVE in Iowa!

    The WiFi is working and you can get her updates
    here
    .

    So far I love the story about the Obama supporter at the door:

    "An Obama supporter is standing at the main entry and asking everyone who comes in if they are 'fired up.' A few people, walking in from below zero wind chills, have given her a rather odd look, obviously unaware of the campaign slogan."

    Politics & News Contributing Editor
    Queen of Spain

     

    Another Live Iowa feed

    Podcastmama is twittering from her caucus in Iowa.

    Politics & News Contributing Editor
    Queen of Spain

     

    MOMocrats are live-blogging!

    MOMocrats.com's very own Iowa mama Leah Klevar is live-blogging from her caucus site. Check it out here:

    http://momocrats.typepad.com/momocrats/2008/01/live-from-the-i.html

    GO EDWARDS!

    Stefania Pomponi Butler


    I blog:
    CityMama
    Kimchi Mamas

     

    live Iowa Twitters

    Loving the Twitters from :

    http://twitter.com/IowaCaucus

    The Land of Moo

    Co-Founder of Bloggers for Darfur

     

    Did CNN just call Iowa for Huckabee?

    I saw it on the chyron....

     

    Yes, Huckabee it is.

    Stefania Pomponi Butler


    I blog:
    CityMama
    Kimchi Mamas

     

    Huckabee/Obama

    Huckabee got called EARLY. MSM calling Obama around 630pm pst.

    Politics & News Contributing Editor
    Queen of Spain

     

    And Bill Bennett the moralty king

    is saying "good for the people of Iowa" for voting for a black man....and I guess he has a point. Wow.

     

    So does this mean young men beat older women

    for Get Our the Vote power?

    Obama focused on getting first time caucusers, and young voters out to vote, while Hillary focused on older women....hmmm. I haven't looked at the numbers enough- it's probably down the the power of Independents in deciding to side with Obama not Clinton.

     

    Don't make the assumption

    Don't make the assumption that older women are automatically in the Hillary camp. :) I'm a 50-something woman who's supporting Obama.

    The Land of Moo

    Co-Founder of Bloggers for Darfur

     

    Ha!

    Good point. But it's true that such buckets were the major targets for each campaign!

    Although, they are reporting that there was a generational divide among women in Iowa, with younger women skewing towards Obama, older to Hillary.

     

    And I totally get that.

    And I totally get that. What's mystified me over the last year+ of this campaign is why so many women DO support Hillary. Sometimes I wonder if they're blinded by gender. For ME (just MY opinion), she has so many negatives that her gender can't possibly overcome them. And I'm an old-school feminist.

    The Land of Moo

    Co-Founder of Bloggers for Darfur

     

    MSNBC just reported that 35%

    MSNBC just reported that 35% of Dem women went to Obama vs. 30% to Clinton.

    The Land of Moo

    Co-Founder of Bloggers for Darfur

     

    I'm struggling with that too...

    As I just wrote:
    Wow, I’m really happy Obama won Iowa

    If it matters, my loyalties are very torn between Hillary Clinton, who I originally supported, and Obama’s message. It is very powerful indeed. I know I’m not alone tonight in feeling torn. And I don’t want to see Bill Clinton with Hillary – I want to see and hear from Hillary alone.

    I still have ‘til Feb 5 to decide…

     

    under 29, over 65

    Ugh - I can't find it now but one of the zillions of campaign emails I'm getting now said that more than half of under 29 year olds went for Obama while the same percentage of over 65 went for Clinton.

    The over 65 must be remembered for their consistency in voting - the under 29 doesn't have, historically, the same staying power with actually going to the polls.

    I think the only thing we can be sure of is that the jig is up - we are really, truly, in a place that can't be predicted and the circle around what is certain is smaller and smaller.

    Jill
    Writes Like She Talks

     

    Just posted my reactions

    I put my link in the link aggregator above.

    I'm so happy my prediction was wrong! I believe Obama will be our next president.

    PopConsumer
    Beyond Help

     

    40% of women voted for

    40% of women voted for Huckabee according to c-span! I'm a little stunned by this statistic! Only 24% of women voted for Romney.

     

    results on Google map

     

    Interesting concession speeches

    Both Edwards and Clinton are claiming that finishing behind Obama means that Iowa voted for change.

    PopConsumer
    Beyond Help