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Jay Leno Crowned King of NBC: Winners and Losers

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If you're a Jay Leno fan, NBC just gave you an extra hour and a half of sleep.  If you're not a Jay Leno fan, NBC just cut you out of about 23% of their primetime schedule.  That's because today NBC announced that comedian Jay Leno has cut a deal to do a show, suspiciously like his current "Tonight Show" in primetime at 10 PM.  And here's the kicker, five nights a week.  That means next fall, Jay Leno will be the King of NBC.

A few months ago all of us in TV circles were wringing our hands wondering why NBC was being so dumb letting Leno getaway.  How would they survive?  And what would poor Jay do, rambling around that big garage stocked with expensive classic cars, dreaming of past late night glory?

Well now we know.

Broadcasting and Cable covered today's press conference and highlighted NBC's financial motives:

It will also save NBC Universal about $13 million a week in programming costs, enabling the network to abandon scripted programming at 10 p.m., an hour where viewership has been steadily dropping.

"Part of what is great about this is it allows us to concentrate all of our development (in the 8 and 9 p.m. hours)," said Ben Silverman, co-chairman of NBCU and UMS. "We're really excited about being able to concentrate that firepower."

Time Magazine's TV critic James Poniewozik thinks this is all part of a bigger plan of downsizing by NBC:

Leno would relieve NBC of the responsibility to program at 10 p.m---a time when network hits have been few and cable networks have stepped in.

NBC, like the other big networks—and other big media, including
newspapers and magazines—simply has to learn to get smaller. Think of
it as de-leveraging, network-style. In an environment of cable,  fewer
viewers per network and less easily-found revenue, mounting big-budget
entertainment three hours a night is less and less viable.  

Some of those 10 PM cable shows Poniewozik refers to are shows like "Leverage," "Nip/Tuck," "The Closer," "Rescue Me," "Mad Men," and "The Shield." 

It's not like NBC hasn't tried this before. During the big magazine show boom of the late 1990's, they programmed the news magazine "Dateline" five nights a week.  In addition, there was  "20/20" and "Primetime Live" on ABC three nights a week and CBS had "60 Minutes II" and "48
Hours."  Like now with Leno, magazine shows were seen as
cheap alternatives to those nasty scripted programs that require
temperamental actors, pesky writers, power grabbing producers and show runners that want creative control.  But viewers eventually got tired of the same old thing and that's when "Survivor" and the reality show boom began. 

It remains to be seen if that happens to Leno, but he does have an advantage:  a built in audience that will probably follow him to primetime.

Spare a thought for poor Conan O'Brien though.  It's kind of like Prince Charles being teased with the idea that his mother Queen Elizabeth might abdicate and give him the thrown.  Well she ain't goin' anywhere and now we know neither is Leno.  O'Brien's got to be just a tad upset that instead of being heir apparent to the late night kingdom, he's now been relegated to the royal children's table.

Personally, I've never been much of a late night watcher.  I've always thought Leno was funnier before he took over the "Tonight Show," and I can only take Letterman in small doses, though I've developed more of a tolerance for him in recent years.  Jimmy Kimmel seems too much like every guy I never wanted to date in college and Conan O'Brien?  Howdy Doody in a suit. 

Who Are The Other Winners and Losers?

Winners

NBC:  They keep Leno, they don't have to program 10 PM with those aforementioned pesky creative types and they get to save a whole bunch of money.  And no matter how many viewers Leno draws, NBC is going to be able to spin the move as a success.  If he gets two more viewers than he does at 11:35 then he'll be "the biggest hit since primetime was created."  If he lands in the basement, NBC can bide their time and try and make up some viewers when the scripted shows are in reruns. 

Jay Leno:  He gets to stay where he's comfortable and he might pick up some viewers who are usually asleep at 11:35.   After all, those "Dirty, Sexy, Money" and "Boston Legal" viewers have to have somewhere to go.

David Letterman:  Dave now

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Megan Smith 5 pts

I hear you, Becca.  Sounds like it's time to fire up your DVR and get busy recording stuff you will like to watch.

As far as NBC, they need to get rid of the current hierarchy and hire someone who knows a good show when they see it instead of the stuff they've been putting on lately.

Megan
BlogHer Contributing Editor, TV/Online Video ( http://www.blogher.com/blog/megan-smith )

Megan's Minute ( http://www.megansminute.com/

Ask Becca 5 pts

It is not that I do not like Leno.  Stay up late most nights and I watch him.  I am just so upset over what is happening to NBC over the past three years or so.  I used to be an NBC only watcher.  I would watch Days of our lives and Passions (even though I was mad when it took over the spot).  All of the Prime Time shows were great and I watched them all.  I even liked the Starting over show that they had had on for a year or two.  Now there is nothing to watch on NBC.  Any new shows are just not worth my time.  Er is heading out in four more weeks and they have not grabbed me with anything new.  I find that I am watching less and less television because of it all. 

Here is my biggest grip with this 10pm show 5 days a week.  My kids go to bed at 9pm at the latest.  This means that I could be watching good shows from 9-11pm.  There are a few problems now.  I am not sure that I want to watch Leno at 10pm and it means that now I will only have 1 hour of sitcom watching time.  This news has really saddened me!

Becca

Please visit me at http://www.askbecca.com

Alanna 5 pts

Leno at 9pm? Who wants it? Leno at 10:30? Perfect. That would be CENTRAL TIME.

To use your framework:

WINNER: East Coast
LOSER: Middle America

Alanna Kellogg
Kitchen Parade ( http://kitchenparade.com/ ) &
A Veggie Venture ( http://kitchen-parade-veggieventure.blogspot.com/ )

Lisse 5 pts

Gosh, I really wish someone would give Craig Ferguson a show at a decent hour. He's the brightest and funniest of the bunch but I can't stay up that late!!

-Lisse

http://homeintheworld.typepad.com

Megan Smith 5 pts

Hi Debra,

NBC is gambling that they'll pick up enough viewers to make up for people like you who prefer other kinds of entertainment.

We'll see if that gamble pays off. 

Megan
BlogHer Contributing Editor, TV/Online Video ( http://www.blogher.com/blog/megan-smith )

Megan's Minute ( http://www.megansminute.com/ )
Video Runway ( http://twoliablog.com/video-runway/ )

Debra Roby 5 pts

Just checked. At the moment I watch NBC at 10 pm only 2 of those nights: The original L&O, and the final season of ER. Since at least one of those shows is going, it's possible that next year it would have been cut to one night.

I do not watch, nor like Jay Leno, so NBC has guarenteed I'll be taking my eyeballs somewhere else.

Even this year, I often find nothing worth watching at 10 pm, and end up hanging online or going to read a book. Sad that NBC is working to increase that chance.

Debra
A Stitch In Time ( http://astitchintime.blogspot.com )
Weight for Deb ( http://weightfordeb.wordpress.com )

Megan Smith 5 pts

Hi Alanna,

What, you didn't realize the east coast is the center of the universe?

But you're right, central time's primetime schedule is now all messed up. Leno's going to be smack in the middle of your evening unless NBC decides to air the show at 10 PM central time like on the east coast.

We'll see.

Megan
BlogHer Contributing Editor, TV/Online Video ( http://www.blogher.com/blog/megan-smith )

Megan's Minute ( http://www.megansminute.com/ )
Video Runway ( http://twoliablog.com/video-runway/ )

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Megan Smith 5 pts

Hi Lisse,

When I've been up late enough to see him, Craig Ferguson has made me chuckle. Unfortunately I think his humor may be too dry for the majority of the American audience. Though, who knows, I could be totally wrong. Any network suits out there want to take Lisse up on her challenge?

Megan
BlogHer Contributing Editor, TV/Online Video ( http://www.blogher.com/blog/megan-smith )

Megan's Minute ( http://www.megansminute.com/ )
Video Runway ( http://twoliablog.com/video-runway/ )

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