Obama's big win
By fabooj on February 06, 2008
Heavily edited and x-posted from my blog
Tonight was a big win for Obama. Yeah, I'm bummed that he didn't win CA, but not surprised. As I'll keep repeating, the voters of CA are incredible morons and supremely moderate. They never want to try something new. Uninformed stick-in-the-muds is my "polite company" term for the majority of our voters.
But back to the numbers...As of this writing, Obama has won 13 states with one more possibly going his way. His numbers are going up in CA, if these people could get some ballot counting going on (we're having problems with non-partisan votes possibly not being counted). The spin from the Clinton campaign is that her 8 state wins are "unexpected". Especially the Massachusetts win. No one expected Obama to win Massachusetts, the numbers just weren't there. Clinton outspent Obama there, because he had the backing of the governor and two Senators. The ROI for her delegates must be worth it. No shock that New York went to Clinton, everyone won their home states. No shock New Jersey went for Clinton, it's in her backyard. Damn, what did she spend all that money on? These are states she was supposed to win.
What is shocking is Obama's wins in some states. As I wrote at Jack and Jill Politics:
Obama was down 20 or 30 points in some of these states 3 months ago. He was down 10 - 15 points in some of these places 3 weeks ago. Tonight is HUGE for the Obama campaign. Clinton had to fight and that was unexpected no matter how hard her campaign tries to spin it.
That list of states won by Obama is huge. Some of those places have like 3 black people there and two of them are just visiting. It was a very big night.
Know that. Understand because as B-Serious wrote, this is why Clinton's itching for some debates:
Other than that, it looks like Obama has Clinton right where he wants her. Want proof? All of a sudden, Hillary wants to schedule a series of debates. The media picked up on this. Hillary is looking for free publicity. Why? Because she's losing the fundraising wars at a rate of more than 2 to 1. Plus, she knows that the next wave of contests favor Obama.
That dawned on me a couple of hours ago...I couldn't figure out why Clinton would all of a sudden want weekly debates when she was bitching about the number of debates back in August. It's obvious she feels that she does well in debates and Obama kinda doesn't. My husband pointed out that the debates would keep Obama off the campaign trail and then I noted the free publicity.
Over at FirstRead they've given us a cute little breakdown:
9 red states / 4 blue states
4 red states / 4 blue states
Um...what's that about electability again?
You look at that map and look at Obama's spread throughout the United States. He could rout any of those Republicans. What's Clinton got? The typical "liberal" strongholds, states she was expected to win and Oklahoma.
Yeah, I know who I'm backing.
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